We take this comment from The Australian, early feb.2001. Great
illustration of why caution is always required when dealing with
stockbrokers. Your interest is not always their interest.
Start quote:
"It was fascinating to see that Norgard Clohessy just scored a Guernsey in
BRW's Fast 100 list - whatever that is. Norgard, which is taking over the
growth-challenged Yates, was the lucky recipient of a glowing research
report from the Warburglers a couple of weeks ago. A "buy", you guessed
it. Lo and behold the stock went for a gallop from 40c to an apogee of 50c
yesterday. Now Norgard is having a capital raising - a $30 million to $40
million placement. We haven't witnessed news of this capital raising yet,
only a couple of notices about options exercises. No matter. Now the Yates
merger is a scheme of arrangement via scrip. The former proposal to merge
with Yates was a 2-for-1 share swap but now that Norgard has rallied, it's
looking more like a 5-for-2. Fortuitous that."
end quote.
Gann followers will find it interesting - on the weekly chart - to observe
that the news release - major in the context of this stock, pushed the
price to an interesting relationship - back to half, note also the dates.
And about Pacific Dunlop: this extract out of BRW March 9.
Start quote:
'Since early 1988, Pacific Dunlop's market capitalisation has crashed from
$3 billion to about $1.1 billion. Its shares have been trading at $1.22,
compared with a 12-month high of $1.75, but despite the sharp decline in
shareholder value, it is difficult to find a sharebroker prepared to say
that Pacific Dunlop shares should be sold. From the group of 13
stockbrokers that provides research material to Multex Global Estimate,
only JB Were has an outright sell on the company. And even then the
recommendation was made by Were at the end of November and has not been
updated. Many of the recommendations on Pacific Dunlop were reviewed late
in February. Londsdale Securities, for example, indicated on February 26
that the shares were a "hold"; Daiwa made the same call on the same day.
On February 27, Macquarie Equities said that Pacific Dunlop was likely to
underperform the market. On February 23, five broker reviewed their
recommendations: Deutsch Bank said buy; UBS Warburg said hold; Salomon
Smith Barney said match the market; Merril Lynch said accumulate; and ABN
Amro said hold. Nomura Securities and Hartley Poynton have no
recommendation, and Chase Ord Minnett thinks Pacific Dunlop will perform in
line with the market."
end quote.
Stop losses are essential - absolutely - if you are going to get above
average returns from the market. Investors can no longer afford to have a
portfolio full of underperforming stocks. Losses must be cut short.
Stockbrokers are your worst enemy in this respect.
Never hold, or buy into, a stock breaking lows on a monthly chart. PDP
illustrates this.