AFR reported on the 22nd of June in its Market Wrap section the following;
"Coca-Cola Amatil maintained its fall from market favour yesterday,
investors slashing another 11 cents, or 3.4%, from the beverage maker to
its close at $3.11 The stock has fallen almost 15% in less than a
fortnight on investor concerns about its valuation. One leading food and
beverage analyst said the stock still traded at a premium to the food and
beverage sector, although he did not consider it a premium stock. The
company has paid a high price for offshore assets that are not performing,
while there is also sagging demand for its product, the analyst said".
But the newspapers rarely tell you the complete story, newspapers normally
tell us what we want to hear (what sells) rarely what we need to know (& if
we need to hear it, readers are usually the last to know anyway -
especially as regards financial news). Opinions are to be ignored.
Standard & Poor's announced changes on the 21st of June to their S&P/ASX
indices. Alterations are generally made only on liquidity or market
capitalisation issues, not company performance, but it is estimated some
1/5th (not more) of our market is managed by index funds; an investment
style of simply picking stocks based on their percentage valuation within
any index. As you may have guessed, CCL was dropped from the S&P/ASX 20 at
the expense of Westfield Trust.
We are currently investigating how this info is disseminated so we can
bring it to you earlier. Stay tuned. Knowledge of those changes is
important to investors. Follow this yourself where you can, it will effect
the chart pattern.
You will find though, I believe, the trend is already established well
before the index change announcement. And of course, the trend can become
self fulfilling. The lower the price goes, the lower the market cap of the
stock, the more pressure on index funds to sell. I do not buy against this
trend, no matter how cheap the stock looks on fundamentals.