Normandy - How the market fools us
Observe how on 7th May the daily bar jumped to around $1.50 (arrowed cursor
highlights it) (the day before England announced its intention to sell half
its gold reserves - oddly enough), but this only moved the price back to
the upper part of the down trend channel on our monthly chart. In other
words, the good news announcement on the gold price only formed a lower top
on the monthly chart. This is telling us something about market sentiment
for gold over the longer term. (But sentiment can change quickly) If I
was to buy NDY at all, it would have to be at the lower end of the monthly
channel. Even then, why buy a stock trending down ? (A stock is never too
low, to go lower, if the trend is down.) Watch the price action closely
around $1 to $1.10, a key support level, if the trend is ever to change.
Sentiment on gold is negative until this chart starts heading up.
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