The Optus chart gives me a chance to illustrate some simple yet powerful
charting concepts. Let's say you bought CWO at $3.90 early November. (I
know subscribers who did so we can talk actual events here) Why would you
buy here anyway ? The stock was breaking across previous tops - into new
highs potentially - a bullish sign and telling you that good news is in the
pipeline for this stock. (See earlier posting on Optus)
As the stock breaks into higher prices across $4 volume increases, best
seen in the daily chart, cursor highlighted. (The daily chart shows Oct.
to Feb. only.)
Once bought, and the trend then continues, a number of strategies could be
instituted. Ask am I a trader or investor here ? If you like the company
and its fundamentals, just hold. If trading, follow the trend. CWO for
the next five months did not at any time make a lower low, keeping the
trade almost stress free. You could decide at the break of any prior
support, a low, to sell. Any break of the trend line gets you out, or
throw a moving average on the chart. I have a 20 week moving average on
the weekly. Just this alone would have held you in to at least $5.50 or
so.
Or put some numbers on it. Note on the daily, CWO made runs of about a
dollar or so (roughly) each time it broke into new highs, with small
retracements only, right up until March, with good volume on each up move.
Classic charting !
Finally note the run up from Oct 19th $3.16 to $7.80 on March 29th. A
range of 464. On the larger weekly time frame, natural support should
occur at 548, expect CWO to accumulate here this month before deciding what
to do next. The 61.8% retracement is at 495. Note the 17th April low 515,
181 days from Oct 19th low. Emotional days both. 515 a great spot for a
stop loss if you were a trader of CWO this week. (I would have liked
better to see the 515 level as resting on a previous top for additional
comfort and stronger support level. It isn't. Exercise care.