Here is the investment clock EIS first published for subscribers - with
the
future forecast dates - late in 1994. It was our forecast for the
remainder of the 1990's decade, based simply on business cycles
repeating.
In addition to the dates given;
- EIS accurately forecast continually declining interest rates
throughout
the 1990's, whilst everyone else said they'd go up.
- We correctly forecast continually low inflation levels last decade,
and
stated in advance the threat deflation would pose.
- We correctly forecast lower gold prices.
- We correctly suggested the high demand for equities would continue and
that this was the investment class that would generate highest returns.
Of course no one can forecast the future exactly, but there is
definitely a
cyclical pattern in the economy and the turning of the investment clock.
History often repeats, and so do the time frames. And the first decade
of
this century is already looking pretty similar to the past as well.
This
year will bring the bottom of the current decade cycle, and the start of
the next one, in reality a mid cycle slowdown of the larger and more
clearly defined property cycle.
Current subscribers to our business
forecasting service already have our forecast dates for the unfolding of
this decade 2001 - 2010.