Doing a count off the london bombings ? 30 degrees saw obl pop up and
announce (last Friday via another video) he hasn't finished with london
yet...
Next numbers, 45 (Aug 21), 52 (Aug 28 - now that is interesting, it
gives us the usual end of month date for obl, so we have a 52 day count
separating them, a good number you see often in markets), 60, 72 (sept
17), then 90 and so on...the square and trine being more emotional
connections. Keep counting and see what develops. And remember, we
have the 11th and 26/28th of each month to watch too. Three dates a
month now, which is what gann always gave. Some of you may remember,
many emails ago I did suggest we would end up with three dates to watch
for this manic guy. Count the weeks and months also, as we have been
doing.
however, who is the more dangerous long term, the bomb makers or the war
profiteers ?
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/cheneys-boundless-iraq-
profiteering/2005/07/30/1122144052021.html
easy to follow via www.halliburtonwatch.org
next decade's US leaders have just about always come out of the
profiteers of its last war, and so the cycle perpetuates. Nothing
different here.
Some r/estate reading
http://www.gallen.com/eykl/c-Bubble.htm
http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000039&sid
=a3Di3SzK1Dc8&refer=columnist_pesek#
http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/bizfocus/archives/2002/09/15/168166
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/news/columnists/article.html?
in_article_id=402459&in_page_id=50002
further info on our skyscraper indicator coming soon, stay tuned.
However, the indicator as presently constructed and as alluded to in the
above articles is not quite perfect and the writers above think it
failed a couple of times. I can tell them why, can you ? Email me if
you cannot answer this question and want the answer.
And yes, it is history repeating right in front of us:
http://www.emporis.com/en/bu/nc/pr/?id=101436
See also the Broadgate tower info and Heron tower info on this site.
Note the dates. We are however interested in the worlds tallest. The
developers of the worlds tallest, if they are a private corporation,
have, if they were building at the end of the 18 year cycle (almost
without exception) gone bust. If the current world's tallest developers
are listed on the exchange, there is a tip for you to give you the
inside running once the cycle turns, ie short their stock. Too early
yet though.
http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/housing-bubbles-back-but-
confidence-takes-hit/2005/08/09/1123353320042.html
assuming the Treasurer has been quoted correctly, note how the pollies
give the upbeat assessment no matter what. As we go further into the 18
year cycle, remember this; they never tell you what you will need to
hear as an investor, and you will be misled by their comments. Their
agenda is different to yours. After the real estate cycle has turned,
leading pollies will continue to give announcements proclaiming 'the
economy is robust', 'this time our policies will give us a soft landing'
and on it will go. When they finally admit recession, it is often close
to the bottom.
August 5 / 8:
well it was not the low as forecast was it. We have had an inversion of
the historical indicator I use off the birth date of the SPI. Gann had
this happen, if you read his outlook for 1950 to '52 and forecast of the
Dow printed in /45 Years in Wall Street/. (Page 131 on. Note the dates
Gann gives - David Burton referred to these in his YTE article which I
pointed out last email - then have a look at these dates for this year's
Dow for a few impressive turning points) But back to Gann. For 1950 he
got the direction wrong, but the dates he gave for the trend changes
were accurate. Always trade in the direction of the overbalance, as
Gann taught. That way you are with the trend. In July, the trend was
up, indicating Aug 5 / 8 was not going to be a major low and the
forecast was not panning out. Inversion this time of direction, but the
dates have been good. It happens. Spi attached with a couple of
counts, just keep counting and see what turns up. Trade only ever with
the confirmed trend.
The consistent afternoon buying of our market is incredibly bullish.
With so few retracements, we are in for a further couple of big years.
Well timed into that 18 year peak.
Snow on the beaches in Victoria I hear, or was this an internet hoax ?
Count off Aug 10 and you will find the weather extremes for the
following 12 months or so. Don't be surprised to see bush fire dangers
Feb 12 or so.
And finally, for those who want to understand Vizard and his insider
trading activities, (he should be in jail) read Pierpont, July 29 AFR.
Pierpont is required reading as part of your trading week in my view.
Pierpont's analysis of Vizard is a corker. And very simply explained.
See especially Pierpont's question 9. Vizard's return of his circle,
just at Gann explains and shows you in the market. Greed kills you in
the end. As the saying goes, bulls can win, and bears can win, but pigs
just get slaughtered.
Next email will look at stocks.
Click here to see the file...